Luxury at the crossroads

Period Return
-4.6%
Return Rank
Subpar
Risk Exposure
Above Average

Watches, fragrances and apparel form the backbone of consumer luxury brands

Entertaining ambiguity about what luxury is, with various strategies to convince clientele of exclusivity and with intention to dominate luxury categories such as watches for some, companies make the theme difficult to define

Over time, some strategies have clearly been more successful than others

  • The combination of a core business in mid-range watches with higher end licenses (Michael Kors, Armani, Coach/Tapestry) marked the turnaround of Fossil
  • Richemont has over many years abandoned initial interests in the tobacco business to focus on jewelry (Cartier, van Cleef & Arpels), watches (Jaeger-LeCoutre and others) and writing (Montblanc)
  • Kering – after a venture in sports with Puma (bought in 2007 and spun-off in 2018) – announced a renewed focus on luxury goods 
  • Hermès and Prada never left the high-end, building a coveted brand name with single-minded attention to quality, control over distribution and reputation

 

LVMH , Richemont and EssilorLuxottica are attractive BUYs if the U.S. economy continues to perform since approx. a quarter of the global luxury market is US-related

Theme Components
Name
Ticker
Sector
Industry
Cur. Price
Mkt. Cap
Performance
Momentum
Risk Rank
Risk Contrib
 
Fossil Inc. FOSL Consumer Non-DurablesApparel, Footwear & Accessories - Major6.41374 M113.0% Weak Up High Risk
PVH Corp. PVH Consumer Non-DurablesApparel, Footwear & Accessories - Major75.893.5 B-13.2% Neutral Above Average
Ralph Lauren RL Consumer Non-DurablesApparel, Footwear & Accessories - Major346.0621 B13.5% Weak Down Below Average
Burberry Group (ADR) BURBY Consumer Non-DurablesApparel, Footwear & Accessories - Major13.75--11.2% Weak Down Average Risk
The Estee Lauder Companies EL Consumer Non-DurablesCosmetics & Personal Care100.2936 B17.2% Neutral Above Average
Coty COTY Consumer Non-DurablesCosmetics & Personal Care2.672.3 B-33.3% Weak Down Above Average
L'Oreal (ADR) LRLCY Consumer Non-DurablesCosmetics & Personal Care88.19--0.2% Neutral Below Average
Tapestry TPR Consumer DurablesLuxury Brands112.5923 B-1.0% Sharp Down Average Risk
Swatch Group (ADR) SWGAY Consumer DurablesLuxury Brands10.79-9.3% Weak Down Average Risk
Compagnie Financiere Richemont (ADR) CFRUY Consumer DurablesLuxury Brands20.62-7.7% Weak Down Below Average
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