Energy - Midstream Transportation

Period Return
31.6%
Return Rank
Above Average
Risk Exposure
Average Risk

The midstream of the oil and gas industry is the middle tenet of the energy value chain, between production of crude and distribution of refined fuels

The firms treat the fossil fuels by removing water and waste products, compress and transport the fossil fuels over the pipeline networks which they operate

All the major midstream operators in the US are included in this selection with a dual purpose

 

First up, by setting apart the firms dedicated mainly to natural gas transport, and by comparing their performance to all-purpose ‘oil as well as gas’ midstream operators, over various timeframes, shifting demand trends may come to light, favoring one fossil fuel over the other, depending on export demand

 

The second factor of interest is the opportunity for consolidation in a fragmented industry

  • The largest merger – confirmed in September ’23 – has been the acquisition of Magellan Midstream by ONEOK , for $18.8 billion, creating one of the largest pipeline companies in the US, 50 000 miles of pipeline with access to nearly 50% of US refining capacity
  • In comparison, all the other recent M&A have been good ‘housekeeping’ such as ‘buy-ins’ of their midstream subsidiaries by Philipps 66 and by Shell , or quite small as Energy Transfer  acquisition of Lotus Midstream ($1.45 billion) and Williams Companies  buy-out of MountainWest pipelines ($1.5 billion)
  • New mergers are hard to anticipate but the companies in the $5 billion to $20 billion market range could be targets to watch

 

For investors, see the overview of the Analytics tab of the selection (below) with direct comparisons offering rich pickings....

  • P/E within the 10-15 range
  • FCF solid – with a majority above (sometimes well above) 5% of market cap
  • Dividend yields in the 5-8% range

 

One last thought - Infrastructure, such as a pipeline network, is an economic moat offering compelling investment opportunities

  • Demand for energy will not come down any time soon
  • Natural gas exports, boosted by European demand since Russia's invasion, and by economic growth in Asia, are trending upwards
  • Supply of pipelines remains constrained - even if energy permit reforms are engaged - with a higher cost of capital and ongoing environmental court challenges

 

Follow the lead...

  • Taking a controlling interest in MidAmerican Energy in 1999, Berkshire Hathaway changed the name to Berkshire Hathaway Energy and its pipeline network (21 200 miles) transports approx. 15% of natural gas consumed in the US

 

Two funds, tracking the midstream industry, are of interest

  • Tortoise MLP Fund
  • ClearBridge Energy MLP Fund
Theme Components
Name
Ticker
Sector
Industry
Cur. Price
Mkt. Cap
Performance
Momentum
Risk Rank
Risk Contrib
 
Enbridge ENB EnergyMidstream Oil & Natural Gas56.74124 B37.3% Weak Up Low Risk
Enterprise Products Partners L.P. EPD EnergyMidstream Oil & Natural Gas38.1883 B36.8% Neutral Low Risk
Genesis Energy L.P. GEL EnergyMidstream Oil & Natural Gas15.661.9 B-2.5% Weak Down Low Risk
Plains All American Pipeline PAA EnergyMidstream Oil & Natural Gas22.9216 B44.2% Weak Up Low Risk
Pembina Pipeline PBA EnergyMidstream Oil & Natural Gas49.2529 B38.5% Weak Up Low Risk
Plains GP Holdings PAGP EnergyMidstream Oil & Natural Gas24.794.9 B46.1% Weak Up Low Risk
MPLX LP MPLX EnergyMidstream Oil & Natural Gas56.3257 B28.3% Neutral Low Risk
Hess Midstream Partners LP HESM EnergyMidstream Oil & Natural Gas38.978.1 B19.3% Neutral Low Risk
Kinetik Holdings KNTK EnergyMidstream Oil & Natural Gas45.787.4 B20.3% Weak Down Average Risk
Keyera KEYUF EnergyMidstream Oil & Natural Gas39.33-23.7% Neutral High Risk
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