Data Centers - Exponential Demand Growth

Period Return
15.2%
Return Rank
Below Average
Risk Exposure
Average Risk

Surging numbers of data applications - from" machine-to-machine" generation (M2M) to  Articial Intelligence (AI) - are like a tidalwave pulling a very long supply chain in its slipstream

High - and sometimes exceptional - performance ratios recorded in the series may not be repeated, going forward 

However, the strategies - and focused specialization -  position some firms for outperformance, benefiting from the expanding data demand

 

Data Centers, built or managed by specialized real estate companies (REITs), have been caught up in this tidalwave of data stockage priorities

According to Cisco's  Annual Internet Report (2018-2023),

A growing number of" machine-to-machine" applications (M2M), such as smart meters, video surveillance, healthcare monitoring, transportation, and package or asset tracking, are contributing in a major way to the growth of devices and connections. By 2023, M2M connections are estimated at 50% of the total devices and connections.

                                                                                                  Global Device and Connection Growth - Cisco Report 2018-2023

 

AI applications will compound previously projected growth trends in data storage demand...

From approx. 4% of US electricity demand in 2022, data centers are expected to account for 6% by 2026 (sce : IEA) and 8% of total consumption by 2030 (sce : Goldman Sachs) - making data centers the key driver in the American power market

 

Pure play data center REITs, such as Digital Realty Trust and Equinix, are unique but other REITs, specialized in telecommunication towers such as American Tower (AMT) or Crown Castle, have engaged 

stands out with strong financials (as of March '24) but the diversification of these telecom tower-focused REITs may count against them for 'data-centric' investors

Housing thousands of server, storage and networking products as well as security, software and mission-critical applications, technical requirements of data centers are high - constraining the speed of expansion of the real estate specialists - in competition with the Internet giants

 

Deep vertical integration of Alphabet, Meta, Amazon (AWS), Microsoft (Azure), IBM and others, such as NTT DATA or Cyrus One, is upending the game as storage demand, requiring immense investments, continues to accelerate 

It can be argued that, with AI momentum, these Internet majors are competing with one another and, therefore, must prioritize investments in data center networks they will control

While the count of data centers is forever growing and yesterday's statistics are meaningless, the number of servers, running into the hundreds of thousands (more than 4 million for Microsoft - multiple 100 000's for Facebook...numbers which surely are already out of date), signals the depth of their presence

 

Not included in the theme :

Digital Core REIT  - launched by Digital Realty Trust in Singapore (February '24) lacks price data and volume

GDS Holdings (ADR)  - a Chinese data center network linked to Ailibaba - has suffered from the later's political and economical exposure

Theme Components
Name
Ticker
Sector
Industry
Cur. Price
Mkt. Cap
Performance
Momentum
Risk Rank
Risk Contrib
 
Amazon.com AMZN ServicesE-commerce Services253.792,724 B13.6% Weak Down Below Average
Meta Platforms META ServicesOn-line Content Services627.571,587 B-12.3% Neutral Average Risk
Equinix EQIX Real EstateREITs Material-Digital Storage1,089.15107 B44.1% Neutral Low Risk
Digital Realty Trust DLR Real EstateREITs Material-Digital Storage188.7065 B13.9% Weak Down Low Risk
Iron Mountain IRM Real EstateREITs Material-Digital Storage130.2539 B35.4% Strong Up Below Average
SBA Communications SBAC Real EstateREITs Infrastructure & Land207.8522 B-7.0% Neutral Below Average
American Tower AMT Real EstateREITs Infrastructure & Land193.9190 B-7.6% Weak Up Low Risk
Crown Castle International CCI Real EstateREITs Infrastructure & Land93.7941 B-2.4% Weak Up Below Average
Microsoft MSFT TechnologyInformation Systems & Network Software428.053,179 B-12.8% Weak Up Low Risk
IBM Corp. IBM TechnologyInformation Systems & Network Software301.77283 B8.4% Strong Up Above Average
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