Growth to Ride (with a margin of safety)

Components Performance/Risk
Period Return
53.2%
Return Rank
Strong
Risk Exposure
Above Average

The selection of equities, listed on NYSE and NASDAQ, is updated dynamically by machine learning at market closure every night

Stocks are screened for the strongest sales trends and capex (capital expenditures) growth

The selection is controled by constraints set on debt financing 

 

Sales & Capex trends

The trends are powerful indicators to bolster a momentum trade

  • As sales & capex will vary from quarter to quarter, moving averages may signal positive trends over time
  • A moving average over the past 5 reported quarters is viewed as a positive by surpassing a 20-quarter (5-year) moving average 
  • The longer the trend in favor of the most recent quarters persists, the higher the score assigned to individual assets, screened for above-average  ranking 

 

To reinforce the focus, the selection is screened for increase in sales & capex of the latest quarter over the previous quarter

 

Debt financing

While growth will rely in part on debt financing, prudent constraints are set on leverage and current liabilities 

  • D/E leverage is constrained, arbitrarily, to 1.5 - limiting Long Term Debt to 150% of Equity
  • Current liabilities, a preferred source of financing in the early stages of growth, is limited to 80% of Total Liabilities

 

The selection does not screen  any specific range for performance or volatility but the assets are ranked to highlight short-term momentum

The Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF  is the benchmark of the selection 

Theme Components
Name
Ticker
Sector
Industry
Cur. Price
Mkt. Cap
Performance
Momentum
Risk Rank
Risk Contrib
 
NVIDIA NVDA TechnologySemiconductors - IC Design (fabless)224.415,453 B31.9% Neutral Average Risk
PDF Solutions PDFS TechnologySoftware - Business Process Mngt42.051.7 B119.0% Weak Down High Risk
Cloudflare NET TechnologySecurity Platforms & Software272.7496 B32.6% Neutral Above Average
Datadog DDOG TechnologyData Processing & Data Analytics (EDP)209.2374 B57.8% Weak Down High Risk
DigitalOcean Holdings DOCN TechnologyCloud Managed Services104.8710 B227.3% Weak Down High Risk
Bill.com Holdings BILL TechnologyCloud Managed Services48.764.8 B5.7% Strong Up Above Average
United States Lime & Minerals USLM Basic MaterialsSpecialty Mining and Processing115.473.3 B-4.1% Neutral Average Risk
Eldorado Gold EGO Basic MaterialsGold Mining43.158.6 B70.6% Strong Up Above Average
Silvercorp Metals SVM Basic MaterialsPrecious Metals Mining12.782.8 B151.2% Strong Up High Risk
Core Natural Resources CNR Basic MaterialsCoal & Lignite Mining102.665.2 B45.1% Weak Up Above Average
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