Growth to Ride (with a margin of safety)

Components Performance/Risk
Period Return
58.3%
Return Rank
Strong
Risk Exposure
Above Average

The selection of equities, listed on NYSE and NASDAQ, is updated dynamically by machine learning at market closure every night

Stocks are screened for the strongest sales trends and capex (capital expenditures) growth

The selection is controled by constraints set on debt financing 

 

Sales & Capex trends

The trends are powerful indicators to bolster a momentum trade

  • As sales & capex will vary from quarter to quarter, moving averages may signal positive trends over time
  • A moving average over the past 5 reported quarters is viewed as a positive by surpassing a 20-quarter (5-year) moving average 
  • The longer the trend in favor of the most recent quarters persists, the higher the score assigned to individual assets, screened for above-average  ranking 

 

To reinforce the focus, the selection is screened for increase in sales & capex of the latest quarter over the previous quarter

 

Debt financing

While growth will rely in part on debt financing, prudent constraints are set on leverage and current liabilities 

  • D/E leverage is constrained, arbitrarily, to 1.5 - limiting Long Term Debt to 150% of Equity
  • Current liabilities, a preferred source of financing in the early stages of growth, is limited to 80% of Total Liabilities

 

The selection does not screen  any specific range for performance or volatility but the assets are ranked to highlight short-term momentum

The Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF  is the benchmark of the selection 

Theme Components
Name
Ticker
Sector
Industry
Cur. Price
Mkt. Cap
Performance
Momentum
Risk Rank
Risk Contrib
 
Casella Waste Systems CWST UtilitiesEnvironmental Services & Waste Mngt90.036.1 B-12.0% Weak Up Average Risk
Innovative Solutions and Support ISSC Industrial GoodsAerospace/Defense - Engineered Systems19.64328 M20.2% Weak Up High Risk
RB Global RBA Industrial GoodsInd. Trading & Distribution / Trading Houses109.1621 B4.5% Neutral Below Average
Xometry XMTR Industrial GoodsDiversified Machinery86.515.1 B212.6% Strong Up High Risk
Perimeter Solutions PRM Industrial GoodsChemicals - Additives & Ingredients34.065.1 B105.0% Neutral Above Average
Smurfit Westrock SW Industrial GoodsPackaging - Paper, paperboard & metal43.7123 B-0.8% Neutral Above Average
Innovex International INVX Industrial GoodsOil&Gas Services/Equipment/Pipelines26.671.8 B53.5% Neutral Above Average
NVIDIA NVDA TechnologySemiconductors - IC Design (fabless)208.764,928 B17.0% Neutral Average Risk
Palo Alto Networks PANW TechnologySecurity Platforms & Software325.63293 B78.3% Strong Up Above Average
Cloudflare NET TechnologySecurity Platforms & Software262.3298 B44.9% Weak Up High Risk
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