Growth to Ride (with a margin of safety)

Components Performance/Risk
Period Return
73.9%
Return Rank
Strong
Risk Exposure
Above Average

The selection of equities, listed on NYSE and NASDAQ, is updated dynamically by machine learning at market closure every night

Stocks are screened for the strongest sales trends and capex (capital expenditures) growth

The selection is controled by constraints set on debt financing 

 

Sales & Capex trends

The trends are powerful indicators to bolster a momentum trade

  • As sales & capex will vary from quarter to quarter, moving averages may signal positive trends over time
  • A moving average over the past 5 reported quarters is viewed as a positive by surpassing a 20-quarter (5-year) moving average 
  • The longer the trend in favor of the most recent quarters persists, the higher the score assigned to individual assets, screened for above-average  ranking 

 

To reinforce the focus, the selection is screened for increase in sales & capex of the latest quarter over the previous quarter

 

Debt financing

While growth will rely in part on debt financing, prudent constraints are set on leverage and current liabilities 

  • D/E leverage is constrained, arbitrarily, to 1.5 - limiting Long Term Debt to 150% of Equity
  • Current liabilities, a preferred source of financing in the early stages of growth, is limited to 80% of Total Liabilities

 

The selection does not screen  any specific range for performance or volatility but the assets are ranked to highlight short-term momentum

The Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF  is the benchmark of the selection 

Theme Components
Name
Ticker
Sector
Industry
Cur. Price
Mkt. Cap
Performance
Momentum
Risk Rank
Risk Contrib
 
Coherent COHR TechnologyOptics & Photonics379.1371 B232.5% Weak Up High Risk
Applied Optoelectronics AAOI TechnologyOptics & Photonics135.6310 B489.2% Weak Up High Risk
Microsoft MSFT TechnologyInformation Systems & Network Software499.993,713 B-2.5% Weak Up Below Average
Palo Alto Networks PANW TechnologySecurity Platforms & Software363.86297 B105.7% Weak Up Above Average
Cloudflare NET TechnologySecurity Platforms & Software300.27106 B50.6% Strong Up High Risk
Five9 FIVN TechnologyCloud Managed Services33.992.6 B29.7% Strong Up High Risk
Bill.com Holdings BILL TechnologyCloud Managed Services47.994.7 B18.8% Strong Up High Risk
Life360 LIF TechnologyCloud Managed Services63.205.1 B-28.9% Weak Up High Risk
DoorDash DASH TechnologyDigital Platform Applications216.2694 B-14.9% Weak Up Above Average
Innovative Solutions and Support ISSC Industrial GoodsAerospace/Defense - Engineered Systems20.17359 M2.2% Weak Up High Risk
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