Growth to Ride (with a margin of safety)

Components Performance/Risk
Period Return
97.4%
Return Rank
Strong
Risk Exposure
High Risk

The selection of equities, listed on NYSE and NASDAQ, is updated dynamically by machine learning at market closure every night

Stocks are screened for the strongest sales trends and capex (capital expenditures) growth

The selection is controled by constraints set on debt financing 

 

Sales & Capex trends

The trends are powerful indicators to bolster a momentum trade

  • As sales & capex will vary from quarter to quarter, moving averages may signal positive trends over time
  • A moving average over the past 5 reported quarters is viewed as a positive by surpassing a 20-quarter (5-year) moving average 
  • The longer the trend in favor of the most recent quarters persists, the higher the score assigned to individual assets, screened for above-average  ranking 

 

To reinforce the focus, the selection is screened for increase in sales & capex of the latest quarter over the previous quarter

 

Debt financing

While growth will rely in part on debt financing, prudent constraints are set on leverage and current liabilities 

  • D/E leverage is constrained, arbitrarily, to 1.5 - limiting Long Term Debt to 150% of Equity
  • Current liabilities, a preferred source of financing in the early stages of growth, is limited to 80% of Total Liabilities

 

The selection does not screen  any specific range for performance or volatility but the assets are ranked to highlight short-term momentum

The Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF  is the benchmark of the selection 

Theme Components
Name
Ticker
Sector
Industry
Cur. Price
Mkt. Cap
Performance
Momentum
Risk Rank
Risk Contrib
 
Coherent COHR TechnologyOptics & Photonics321.5260 B194.2% Neutral High Risk
Micron Technology MU TechnologySemiconductors - Specialized1,096.161,234 B560.0% Neutral High Risk
NVIDIA NVDA TechnologySemiconductors - IC Design (fabless)228.875,562 B28.7% Neutral Average Risk
Advanced Micro Devices AMD TechnologySemiconductors - IC Design (fabless)623.771,017 B287.7% Weak Up High Risk
Arm Holdings ARM TechnologySemiconductors - IC Design (fabless)333.20354 B136.3% Weak Up High Risk
Palo Alto Networks PANW TechnologySecurity Platforms & Software374.57306 B84.3% Neutral Average Risk
Cloudflare NET TechnologySecurity Platforms & Software353.00124 B58.1% Weak Up High Risk
Five9 FIVN TechnologyCloud Managed Services38.653.0 B48.5% Weak Up High Risk
DigitalOcean Holdings DOCN TechnologyCloud Managed Services146.0013 B295.0% Weak Up High Risk
Riot Blockchain RIOT TechnologyBlockchain24.189.2 B41.7% Weak Up High Risk
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