{"list":[{"id":1867412,"hash":"n059m6e3","type":"List","name":"US Major Banks & Savings > $5bn","alias":"us-major-banks-savings-5bn","intro":"Tracking the exposure of the large cap banks, included in the KWV index, to interest rate hikes","description":"

The theme does not include the systematically important US mega banks > $100 bn, which form a category apart by virtue of their size and risk controls to which they submit

\r\n

The current interest rate range targeted by the Fed is 4.25%-4.5%, unchanged since December18th 2024, considering uncertainty of future inflationary trends

\r\n

The core PCE price index, the Fed’s preferred yardstick, remains stuck around 2.5% (year-on-year) as of May ’25 data, with Services the main inflationary factor (+3.7%) and Housing (+4%) both on a downward trend

\r\n

Negative anticipations for inflation, due to new higher US tariffs among other factors (such as energy), could delay a reset of the Fed rate further

\r\n

The collapse of SVB – Silicon Valley Bank – in March '23, following a bank run, highlighted the sensitivity of Treasury holdings to rate hikes – the higher the rates go, the lower current market value of the invested bonds, commanding lower asset values to refund cash deposits

\r\n

All banks hold 10-year Treasury notes in large amounts – over time the safest asset category – but the ‘temporary inflation bout’ storyline on which the U.S. banking system has been built, is not so 'temporary' anymore, keeping the 10-year yield at 4.3/4.4%

\r\n

Major exposure involves the regional banks who stand to benefit if the 10-year bond yields start to fall along with inflationary trends

\r\n

A benchmark of the theme, the share price of the Invesco KBW Bank ETF highlights the sensitivity of the fund's constituents to rates

\r\n

The KBW index is a modified-market capitalization-weighted index of companies primarily engaged in US banking activities

\r\n

The Index is compiled, maintained and calculated by Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, Inc. and Nasdaq, Inc. and is composed of large national US money centers, regional banks and thrift institutions that are publicly traded in the US

","dateCreation":1516463713000.0,"datePublish":1522713600000.0,"dateUpdate":1750700953932.0,"dateUpdateComps":1750780423742.0,"image":"https://static.pininvest.com/uploads/images/lists/n059m6e3/so48koid/default/us-major-banks-savings-5bn.jpg","url":"/library/n059m6e3","category":{"id":1912185,"hash":"nkz9798n","name":"Finance","brief":" A selection of Finance themes, highlighting key companies and underlying trends - regularly reviewed and updated","description":"

In Finance, themes include majors companies and smaller firms exploring new ways to combine specialized expertise and transform their industry

\r\n

In each theme, the selected companies wil be compared

\r\n

by market cap, performance and volatility
by charts highlighting the outliers
by analytics (multiple ratios)
and by factors (Total Market, Small Cap, Value and Profitability)

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