Nvidia - Chip Wars and Artificial Intelligence

Components Performance/Risk
Period Return
90.8%
Return Rank
Strong
Risk Exposure
High Risk

Great investor expectations of artificial intelligence (AI) have driven the share price of Nvidia to breathtaking heights

AI's bright and shiny future may come true, and certainly has been marketed as a once-in-a-life time technological turning point

For now, Nvidia alone owns the market for AI applications on devices with multiples functionalities 

However, integration of specialized NPUs and cloud-based models (already available on Google, Amazon and Microsoft clouds) will prove to be game-changers in a not-so-distant future

Rather than attempting to join the Nvidia bandwagon, especially after the train left the station, this selection suggests a considered view of the semiconductor industry

 

Nvidia - in the uncertainty surrounding the extent of AI's grip on entire industries - remains a sphinx, inscrutable about what the future truly beholds

Comparisons between financial ratios , on the Analytics tab, may provide some of the answers sought by investors

The ratios draw stark comparisons across the semiconductor firms listed on US markets, by share price to earnings (P/E), to book value (P/B), to cash flow (P/CF) and many others, with striking differences in investor appreciation

  • Firms operating in the same segment of 'fabless IC design' as Nvidia master specialized AI programming capacity to accelerate machine learning and artificial intelligence (AI) workloads. Unsurprisingly, integration of multiple AI chips in neural processing units (NPUs) will proceed apace and vendors include
    • Intel  
      Qualcomm  
    • Advanced Micro Devices  
      Huawei (China)
      Samsung (South Korea)
      MediaTek (Taiwan)
  •  A selected group of powerful firms enjoys real-life quasi-monopoly positions with much lower valuation ratios than Nvidia - such as foundry TSMC or dominant lithography specialist ASML 

 

  • Nvidia will be challenged by cloud-based AI services, with familiar names. With potent hardware accelerators, their neural units (NPUs) are optimized for tasks related to artificial networks and tensor units (TPU's) are developed by Google to accelerate the training and inference of deep learning models
    • Amazon  
    • Microsoft Azure  
    • Google  
    • Meta  

 

Vanguard Information Technology ETF  is the benchmark of the selection

Theme Components
Name
Ticker
Sector
Industry
Cur. Price
Mkt. Cap
Performance
Momentum
Risk Rank
Risk Contrib
 
Applied Materials AMAT TechnologySemiconductors – Lithography562.80420 B184.7% Weak Down High Risk
ASML Holding (ADR) ASML TechnologySemiconductors – Lithography1,803.00677 B144.1% Neutral Above Average
Lam Research Corporation LRCX TechnologySemiconductors – Lithography319.78391 B223.0% Weak Down High Risk
Broadcom AVGO TechnologyDatacom, Telcom & Network Equipt392.471,758 B29.8% Neutral Above Average
Coherent COHR TechnologyOptics & Photonics313.2252 B181.2% Sharp Down High Risk
Novanta NOVT TechnologyOptics & Photonics143.265.3 B18.8% Weak Down Above Average
IPG Photonics IPGP TechnologyOptics & Photonics96.464.4 B38.0% Weak Down High Risk
Intel INTC TechnologySemiconductors - Broad Line100.23475 B320.0% Sharp Down High Risk
Texas Instruments TXN TechnologySemiconductors - Broad Line284.99258 B60.4% Neutral Above Average
KLA-Tencor KLAC TechnologySemiconductors – Metrology & TestEquipt218.7328 B145.7% Neutral High Risk
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