Building EVs with picks and shovels

by Pininvest Analysis
Building EVs with picks and shovels

The list of ambitious new EV brands goes on and on, 

  • already established firms such as BYD , Xpeng , Nio  in China and many new start-ups,
  • Lucid , Canoo , Hyliion , Arrival and many, many others
  • legacy firms for their own line-ups (GE , Volkswagen  and the German majors, Stellantis  and the Japanese established automakers)
  • contract manufacturers such as Magna International or recently annouced Foxconn  of Apple smartphone fame

All will be topping up their order book and run their newly installed EV lines at full capacity

With financing flowing freely, and bountiful start-up ambitions, additional demand for robotic equipment, already a stand-out feature on automotive production lines as it is, seems preordained

Picks and shovels of sorts...


The automotive industry has been – and remains – the industry’s most important customer with almost 28% of total installations, at 105 400 units in 2019 (latest available data by the IFR), a substantial drop over the previous years (2018 – 125 500 units)

Early data for 2020 highlights China's significant headstart with 167 000 industrial robots shipped - +19% - while global robot installation are stable 20/19 at 376 000 (implying a substantial drop ex-China)

 

Unsurprisingly, demand by the industry – and by automotive part suppliers – puts a very small number of countries at the top in terms of robot installations and number of robots per 10 000 workers

Germany, Japan and South Korea dominate but the U.S. fully committed to reindustrialization in this most visible - and popular - segment should become a significant force in the near future

According to Reuters, quoting LMC Automotive, automakers will invest over $37 billion in North American plants from 2019 to 2025, with 15 of 17 new plants in the United States and over 77% of that spending will be directed at SUV or EV projects

 

Even so, traveling up the supply chain, from EV exhilaration (the Tesla effect…) to the costly commitments to new production lines, where a paint or body shop can be a $200-$300 million investment, ever cautious industrial programs will proceed step-wise

What this means is that bottlenecks are here to stay – and in the foreseeable future, the pure play industrial robotics manufacturers such as Kuka Invalid tag asset, Fanuc or Yaskawa should benefit

 

Check the full list including the major industrial conglomerates engaged in robotics